Iran-U.S. Nuclear Talks in Rome: Will Sanctions Derail a Fragile Deal?


 

As Iran and the U.S. prepare for high-stakes nuclear talks in Rome, new sanctions and rising tensions threaten to derail progress — can diplomacy prevail?

The fourth round of indirect talks between Iran and the United States is set to take place in Rome, marking another critical juncture in efforts to revive the 2015 nuclear deal. Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi confirmed the meeting but dismissed European nations as ineffective mediators, citing their “incorrect policies.” This dismissal raises questions about whether key players like France, Germany, and the UK can still influence the negotiations — or if the real power struggle remains solely between Washington and Tehran.

Despite the planned talks, the U.S. has ramped up pressure by imposing fresh sanctions on Iranian entities tied to the government and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). Araghchi condemned the move as “provocative,” yet surprisingly, Iran has not walked away from negotiations. This suggests Tehran is weighing the benefits of sanctions relief against its nuclear ambitions. But with both sides refusing to back down, the Rome talks could either break the deadlock or push the two nations further apart.

A major sticking point remains Iran’s frozen assets abroad, which Araghchi insists must be unlocked as part of any sanctions relief. However, he provided no details on how or when these funds might be accessed, leaving room for speculation about U.S. conditions. The Biden administration has signaled flexibility but demands verifiable steps from Iran to scale back its nuclear program. Without a clear path to financial relief, Tehran may resist making concessions, setting the stage for another tense standoff.

The U.S. has cautiously described recent talks as “positive and productive,” with both sides agreeing to reconvene in Europe. Yet, Iran continues enriching uranium to 60% purity — far beyond the 3.67% limit set by the original deal, though still short of weapons-grade levels. This deliberate escalation serves as both leverage and a red flag, signaling that Tehran won’t compromise without guarantees. The question now is whether Washington will offer enough incentives to halt Iran’s nuclear advances — or if the Rome talks will end in another stalemate.

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